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President Obama? Let me count the reasons.

June 19, 2008
  • George Bush has the lowest approval rating in the history of approval ratings.
  • McCain would be the oldest president ever elected.
  • 81% of Americans think the country is on the wrong track–and most of the last 8 years has seen a Republican-controlled Washington.
  • The economy is bad.
  • Gasoline is at record high prices.
  • McCain wants to stay the course in Iraq, while most Americans want our troops out within a year.
  • Obama is raising tons more money than McCain.
  • The Democratic primary has generated record-breaking numbers of new voter registrations.
  • McCain is unpopular with his own base.
  • A Majority of Americans believe Obama will win the election.
  • Obama is an exciting orator. McCain is a horrifying train wreck of a public speaker.
  • Early though it is, national polling indicates that Obama is leading.
  • Early though it is, national polling indicates that Obama is ahead in swing states like Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania.

I feel like I could keep going with this list, but you get the idea. Nothing is “in the bag,” but things certainly look good, don’t they?

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  1. […] Hillary Clinton had an absolute lock on the Democratic nomination?  Yeah, me too.  So much for that. Posted at 16:39 by Nick  |   No Comments […]


  2. So…..
    Are those reasons why you want him to be president or reasons why you think he will be president?


  3. 1. George Bush has the lowest approval rating in the history of approval ratings.
    The current Democratic Congress also has one of the lowest ratings in history and far below Bush in percentages. By this logic, Congress should be voted out before Bush.

    2.McCain would be the oldest president ever elected
    So what? Definitely more experience

    3. 81% of Americans think the country is on the wrong track–and most of the last 8 years has seen a Republican-controlled Washington.
    Reality check – when the Democrats took over Congress in the last election, gas was $2.19 a gallon and the economy was good.

    4. The economy is bad – See comment for (3) above

    5. Gasoline is at record high prices
    What is Congress doing to increase supply, like allowing drilling in US territories like Anwar and offshore locations. China, Venezuela, Saudi Arabia are all drilling in the areas that Congress won’t let US companies drill. Rather than enable more supply, Congresses solution is to tax oil companies which will be passed on to the American consumer.

    5. McCain wants to stay the course in Iraq, while most Americans want our troops out within a year.
    He wants to finish the job that the surge started. You don’t hear much about Iraq in the news anymore- because we are winning and the media doesn’t want to acknowledge this success. We’ve had basis in Germany, the Philippines and other countries since the end of WWII. To maintain a US presence, could this be what HE really means by staying the course.

    6. Obama is raising tons more money than McCain.
    Now that Republicans know who the opposition will be, more money will flow in to stop the Obama Express. Remember, Republicans are the party of the rich, so when it comes to spending to keep someone in power, contributors will step up.

    7. The Democratic primary has generated record-breaking numbers of new voter registrations.
    Hear this every election including when McGovern ran and was defeated in one of the biggest landslides in election history. New voters include many new college students turning voting age. A number of Democrat demographic groups defecting to McCain because they do not like the liberal tax and spend proposals of Obama. This is offsetting many of the new voters.

    8. McCain is unpopular with his own base.
    When he was running against other Republicans in the primary, he was not as popular as some of the others. Now that he IS the candidate, Republicans are closing ranks. He is still appealing to crossover Democrats at the consternation of some Republicans, but overall he is gaining popularity among Republicans.

    9. A Majority of Americans believe Obama will win the election.
    I’m sure believing will make it true. Many believed Gore or Kerry would beat Bush – surprise!

    10. Obama is an exciting orator. McCain is a horrifying train wreck of a public speaker.
    Maybe we should elect Earl Nightengale, Tony Robbins or Brian Tracy, they are better orators than Obama. Hitler was considered one of the top three orators of the 2oth century. Or maybe being a good orator is just one part of the job qualifications. I’d rather have an average speaker with experience that can get things done over a good talker.

    11.Early though it is, national polling indicates that Obama is leading.
    True – but it’s still early and running mates have not been selected yet.

    12.Early though it is, national polling indicates that Obama is ahead in swing states like Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania.
    Aside from the fact that you can never expect Florida to get the count right, it’s still too early to declare the swing states.


  4. Dirk, these are the reasons why I believe he will be elected.

    Bill… that’s quite a list of things to respond to. See if you can match these remarks up to your comments above.

    Congress’ approval rating is directly related to their seeming inability to reign in your man Bush. Quite a different thing than being unpopular based on your own platform and legislative initiatives.

    Drilling more won’t help.

    The surge worked, yes. If by “work” you mean “has quelled a significant amount of violence.” It has not, however, been accompanied by the political gains the surge was supposed to facilitate–the point of the whole thing. The military succeeded in its goal. But the true goal isn’t military at all.

    McCain won’t raise anything near the money Obama raises, even though the GOP is, as you say, “the party of the rich.”

    Hey, I’m not trying to pass it off as a substitute for substantive issues, but being a better speaker will help him get elected. (Bonus for invoking Godwin’s law in your first comment!)

    If a majority of Americans believe he will win, he probably will–as they are the ones who decide it. The wisdom of crowds and all that.


  5. Congresses inability to “reign in your man Bush” is a direct reflection of broken campaign promises by the newly elected Democrats that promised changed, but aren’t delivering. Even though the Democrats have a clear majority, many still approved more money for Iraq and the surge as well other Bush programs. Their inability to deliver what they promised the voters is exactly why their rating is far lower than Bush’s. The question is will Obama deliver on his promises or is it just more campaign rhetoric till (if) he is in office and then follows the path of his fellow Democrats in Congress.

    On another topic, the press pointed out yesterday ( i.e. ABCs World News at 5:30PM CST along with others) that with all the dissatisfaction over the economy, oil prices, the war and Bush, Obama should have a much larger lead over McCain. ABC put the differential at a 6 percentage point margin. In past elections, the difference was usually larger at this point in time based on the level of polling dissatisfaction (past wars, recessions, gas prices, etc.). The analyst mentioned concern in the Obama camp over this issue and that the “lack of experience” perception could be a major factor. They also mentioned that the running mate selection will affect these numbers for both candidates. You mentioned Obama’s lead in the opinion poles, I thought it appropriate to put it context of how much that really means relative to the level of overall dislike and “overwhelming” dissatisfaction of the Bush administration. It appears that not much of this dissatisfaction is spilling over to McCain.


  6. He just opened up a 15 point lead. Check it out.


  7. The latest (Sunday, 6-22-08) ABC/Washington Post Poll has Obama by 6 points. In the same poll, McCain has a 51% to 39% lead over Obama among white voters. Amazing how polls can differ using the same “scientific” sampling methods.


  8. Whoops! Now the LA Times has Obama up by 12%. So it looks like the Newsweek poll wasn’t a total outlier after all.

    I think we may see double digit leads over much of the campaign.


  9. Obama wants to put 15 bil + towards renewable energy and better means of public transit. This is opposed to the 4 bil. that is already there yearly. I can’t help but be excited.

    Not gonna go all Whitney Houston or anything but… “I believe the children are the future… ”

    BTW. I found you from littlekay7(hi!)on flickr.


  10. Yep, I’m down with renewable energy and better public transportation.

    Also in case you didn’t know, littlekay7 is my fiance. 🙂



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